US Stocks Plunge, Nasdaq Drops Nearly 2%!
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The financial world witnessed a substantial shake-up on December 5, when the three major indices of the American stock market took a significant downturnTechnology giants, which have been a cornerstone of market stability, faced sharp declines, and many prominent Chinese stocks also fell prey to this trendThis downturn didn't come out of nowhere; it was triggered by unexpected news from the U.SInstitute for Supply Management (ISM) regarding the non-manufacturing index.
On that day, the ISM reported an unforeseen rise in the non-manufacturing index for November to 56.5%, a figure that surpassed analysts' expectations of 53.7%. This surprise jump, particularly notable for the business activity index which reached its highest increase since March 2021, sent shockwaves across the stock marketThis information reinforced concerns about the U.SFederal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes aimed at combating inflation, leading to further selling pressure.
The stock market quickly reacted to this news
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By the end of the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had fallen 1.40%, the Nasdaq dropped 1.93%, and the S&P 500 tumbled 1.79%. This was a broad-based selloff, especially among large tech companiesAmazon's shares plummeted over 3%, while Netflix saw a decline of more than 2%. Other tech stalwarts like Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Facebook also faced slight decreasesThe energy sector was similarly affected, with major players like ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Schlumberger, and Occidental Petroleum each witnessing declines exceeding 2%.
Moreover, the Chinese stock indices reflected the doom of their American counterparts as many popular Chinese stocks experienced downward trendsThe Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.30%. Individual stocks like MANBANG and iQIYI faced significant losses, with declines of over 8% and 5%, respectivelyHowever, it wasn't all bad news; stocks like Vipshop, Baidu, and Pinduoduo managed to finish the day in positive territory, rising by over 3%, 2%, and 1% respectively
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Nevertheless, the overall sentiment was bearish, especially for innovative firms listed in the U.Smarket.
The broader economic implications of these movements were starkAt the close of trading on Monday, the yield on the benchmark U.S10-year Treasury surged by 11.86 basis points to 3.6048%, while two-year yields increased 10.96 basis points to a day-high of 4.4144%. This climb in yields typically indicates rising inflation expectations, which further complicates the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory.
Meanwhile, in Europe, stock indexes experienced mixed outcomesThe DAX 30 in Germany dropped 0.56%, and France's CAC 40 fell by 0.67%. However, the UK’s FTSE 100 saw a slight increase of 0.15%, suggesting that the European market could respond differently to global economic pressures.
In a side note, Tesla found itself at the center of media scrutiny, with rumors circulating about a 20% production cut at its Shanghai Gigafactory due to insufficient demand
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Responding to these claims, Tesla's department in China dismissed the reports as "false." On the same day, Tesla released sales data showcasing a robust November in which it delivered over 100,000 vehicles in China—a staggering 40% increase month-over-month and an impressive 89% increase year-over-yearDespite this positive sales announcement, Tesla shares fell over 6%, converting into a valuation loss of nearly 280 billion yuan (around 40 billion USD) because of the cutback rumors.
Investment banks are sounding alarms about the future trajectory of the stock marketNotably, renowned stock market bear and Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson suggested that the recent market rally had reached its limitsHe recommended that investors lock in profits rather than risking further lossesWilson expressed, "We have returned to being bearish on U.Sstocks," predicting that after the S&P 500's recent overreach beyond its 200-day moving average, it would likely revert downward
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He emphasized that the underlying downward trend since the beginning of the year remains unblemished.
This pivot in Wilson’s outlook signifies a strategic adjustmentEarlier, he posited that the S&P 500 could experience a tactical recovery potentially extending into December before the pressures of declining corporate earnings would take holdHis revised perspective indicates a belief that the current uptick may merely represent a transient bounce rather than a sustained recovery, particularly against a backdrop of macroeconomic challenges like shrinking profits and the Federal Reserve's escalating interest rates.
Bank of America is forecasting an economic contraction, estimating a potential 0.4% decline in the first quarter of 2023, with the S&P 500 forecasted to dip as low as 3000 pointsThey sounded off alerts regarding the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening impacting market liquidity significantly.
Similarly, Deutsche Bank predicted that U.S
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